Farmers in India work extremely hard in the farms but still their profit margins are comparatively low. The farmers have very little knowledge about the conditions that cause fluctuations in price of the crop. These fluctuations in the price are due to various factors like irregular rainfall, change in demand-supply, and import-export policies of the government. We, therefore, implemented Holt-winter's Forecasting Model and have incorporated the effects caused by factors such as Rainfall, Exports-Imports & Productivity into the model. This model examines some sample data and based on this data, forecasts the future trend and fluctuations in crop price. This model can help the farmers by providing prediction of price of the crops and thus, to extend the profit margins.

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5. For rainfall data in Pune, referred monsoon reports of years 2008 to 2011 from http://www. imdpune. gov. in/
6. For actual Spot Prices: http://www. ncdex. com/MarketData/SpotPrice. aspx
7. For Exports data: http://www. sopa. org/st16. htm
8. For selection of Holt Winter's Method: http://home. ubalt. edu/ntsbarsh/Businessstat/otherapplets/PolynoReg. htm
9. For comparison of forecasting methodologies and Selection of Holt Winters Method http://www. decisioncraft. com/dmdirect/forecastingtechnique. htm

Agricultural Products Wholesale Prices Forecast Holt-winters' Forecasting Model