We apologize for a recent technical issue with our email system, which temporarily affected account activations. Accounts have now been activated. Authors may proceed with paper submissions. PhDFocusTM
CFP last date
20 December 2024
Reseach Article

A Particle filter based Neural Network Training Algorithm for the Modeling of North Atlantic Oscillation

Published on February 2015 by Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R. Gopikakumari
Advanced Computing and Communication Techniques for High Performance Applications
Foundation of Computer Science USA
ICACCTHPA2014 - Number 5
February 2015
Authors: Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R. Gopikakumari
0a02e70e-4885-4a64-919e-4e4d168b1665

Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R. Gopikakumari . A Particle filter based Neural Network Training Algorithm for the Modeling of North Atlantic Oscillation. Advanced Computing and Communication Techniques for High Performance Applications. ICACCTHPA2014, 5 (February 2015), 6-12.

@article{
author = { Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R. Gopikakumari },
title = { A Particle filter based Neural Network Training Algorithm for the Modeling of North Atlantic Oscillation },
journal = { Advanced Computing and Communication Techniques for High Performance Applications },
issue_date = { February 2015 },
volume = { ICACCTHPA2014 },
number = { 5 },
month = { February },
year = { 2015 },
issn = 0975-8887,
pages = { 6-12 },
numpages = 7,
url = { /proceedings/icaccthpa2014/number5/19461-6052/ },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Proceeding Article
%1 Advanced Computing and Communication Techniques for High Performance Applications
%A Archana R
%A A Unnikrishnan
%A R. Gopikakumari
%T A Particle filter based Neural Network Training Algorithm for the Modeling of North Atlantic Oscillation
%J Advanced Computing and Communication Techniques for High Performance Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V ICACCTHPA2014
%N 5
%P 6-12
%D 2015
%I International Journal of Computer Applications
Abstract

Chaotic dynamical systems are present in the nature in various forms such as the weather, activities in human brain, variation in stock market, flows and turbulence. In order to get a detailed understanding of a system, the modeling and analysis of the system is to be done in an effective way. A recurrent neural network (RNN) structure has been designed for modeling the dynamical system. The neural network weights are estimated using the Particle Filter algorithm. There are various natural systems, which can be represented by chaotic dynamical systems. But closed form mathematical equations for such systems are not readily available for generating such time series. The North Atlantic oscillations are one such system which is modeled with the selected RNN model structure and Particle Filter algorithm. While the model faithfully reproduces the given time series, the phase plane generated unravels the dynamics of the system. The characterization of the natural chaotic systems is done in the time domain by Embedding Dimension, Phase plots and Lyapunov Exponents.

References
  1. Devany, " A first course in chaotic dynamical systems: theory and experiments", Persues publications, 1992 .
  2. S Chen, S A Billings, "Neural networks for nonlinear system modeling and identification", International journal of control, vol. 56, issue2, pp. 319-346, 1992.
  3. Simon Haykin, " Neural networks-A comprehensive foundation", 2nd edition, Pearson education, 1999.
  4. Puskorius G V, L A Feldkamp, "Neurocontrol of nonlinear dynamical systems with Kalman filter trained recurrent networks
  5. A Bullineria, " Neural computations: Lecture 2", 2014.
  6. Puskorius G V, L A Feldkamp, "Neurocontrol of nonlinear dynamical systems with Kalman filter trained recurrent networks",
  7. Si-Zhao, Quin Hong, Thomas J Mc Avoy "Comparison of four Neural network learning methods for dynamic system modeling", IEEE Transactions on neural networks, vol. 3, pp 192-198, 1992
  8. A. Doucet, A. M. Johansen, "A Tutorial on Particle Filtering and Smoothing?: Fifteen years later," Version 1. 1, 2008.
  9. Afonso, Manya. "Particle filter and extended kalman filter for nonlinear estimation: a comparative study. " IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing,pp1- 10, 2008.
  10. M. S. Arulampalam, S. Maskell, N. Gordon, T. Clapp, "A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking," IEEE Transaction on Signal Processing. , vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 174–188, 2002.
  11. Torma, Péter, and Csaba Szepesvári. "Combining local search, neural networks and particle filters to achieve fast and reliable contour tracking. " Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium on Intelligent Signal Processing. 2003
  12. Q. Wen and P. Qicoiig, "An improved particle filter algorithm based on neural network,"IFIP International Federation for Information Processing, vol. 228, pp. 297–305, 2006.
  13. Takens F "On the numerical determination of dimension of an attractor", Springer Lecture notes on Mathematics, vol. 898 pp. 230-241, 1981
  14. Takens F "Detecting strange attractors in turbulence" Springer Lecture Notes in Mathematics", vol. 898, pp. 366–381, 1981
  15. P Hong, C Peterson. "Finding the embedding dimension and variable dependencies in time series", Neural Computation, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 509-520, 1994
  16. Liangyue Cao, "Practical method for determining the minimum embedding dimension from a scalar time series", Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, vol. 1, no. 10, pp. 43-50, 1997
  17. J. C. Robinson, "Takens' embedding theorem for infinite-dimensional dynamical systems", Nonlinearity, vol2, pp. 1–10,1999
  18. Arun V. Holden, "Chaotic behavior in systems" -Manchester University Press, 1986
  19. Lennart Ljung, "System identification – Theory for the user" , Prentice Hall, 1987
  20. M. T. Rosenstein, J. J. Collins, C. J. De Luca, "A practical method for calculating largest Lyapunov exponents from small data sets", Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomina, vol. 65, no. 1, pp. 117-134, 1993
  21. M Bask, R Gencay, "Testing chaotic dynamics via Lyapunov exponents", Physica D, vol. 114, pp. 1–2, 1998
  22. R J Greatbatch, "The North Atlantic Oscillation," Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk assessment, no. 14, pp. 213-242, 2000
  23. Collette, Christophe, M. Ausloos. "Scaling analysis and evolution equation of the North Atlantic oscillation index fluctuations. " International journal of modern physics C 15. 10 , pp. 1353-1366, 2004
  24. E. P. Gerber, "A Dynamical and Statistical Understanding of the North Atlantic Oscillation and Annular Modes," Ph. D Thesis, Princeton University, 2006
  25. S. M. Osprey, U. Kingdom, M. H. P. Ambaum, and U. King-, "Evidence for the Chaotic Origin of Northern Annular Mode Variability", Geophysical Research letters, 2011.
  26. Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R Gopikakumari, " Modelling of Venice lagoon time series with improved Kalman filter based neural networks", International journal for computer applications, Special issue ACCTHPCA, 2012
  27. Archana R, A Unnikrishnan, R Gopikakumari, "Computation of state space evolution of chaotic systems from time series of output, based on neural networks", International Journal for engineering research and development, vol. 2, Issue. 2, pp 49-56, 2012
  28. NAO data: Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, http://www. cru. uea. ac. uk/cru/data/nao/nao. dat
  29. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA), United State Department of Commerce, http://oceanservice. noaa. gov
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Chaotic Systems North Atlantic Oscillation Embedding Dimension Lyapunov Exponent Phase Plots