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Reseach Article

Causal Method and Time Series Forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network

by Benkachcha. S, Benhra. J, El Hassani. H
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 75 - Number 7
Year of Publication: 2013
Authors: Benkachcha. S, Benhra. J, El Hassani. H
10.5120/13126-0482

Benkachcha. S, Benhra. J, El Hassani. H . Causal Method and Time Series Forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network. International Journal of Computer Applications. 75, 7 ( August 2013), 37-42. DOI=10.5120/13126-0482

@article{ 10.5120/13126-0482,
author = { Benkachcha. S, Benhra. J, El Hassani. H },
title = { Causal Method and Time Series Forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { August 2013 },
volume = { 75 },
number = { 7 },
month = { August },
year = { 2013 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 37-42 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume75/number7/13126-0482/ },
doi = { 10.5120/13126-0482 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2024-02-06T21:43:40.460846+05:30
%A Benkachcha. S
%A Benhra. J
%A El Hassani. H
%T Causal Method and Time Series Forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 75
%N 7
%P 37-42
%D 2013
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

This article discusses two methods of dealing with demand variability. First a causal method based on multiple regression and artificial neural networks have been used. The ANN is trained for different structures and the best is retained. Secondly a multilayer perceptron model for time series forecasting is proposed. Several learning rules used to adjust the ANN weights have been evaluated. The results show that the performances obtained by the two methods are very similar. The cost criterion is then used to choose the appropriate model.

References
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Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Demand Forecasting Supply Chain Time Series Causal Method Multiple Regression Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).