International Journal of Computer Applications |
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA |
Volume 69 - Number 16 |
Year of Publication: 2013 |
Authors: J. Kumaran, G. Ravi, R. Rajkumar |
10.5120/12048-8116 |
J. Kumaran, G. Ravi, R. Rajkumar . Neural-Fuzzy Approach for Power Load Forecasting Analysis. International Journal of Computer Applications. 69, 16 ( May 2013), 31-35. DOI=10.5120/12048-8116
This paper presents Neuro-Fuzzy approach for forecasting analysis in power load. Forecasting the power load is a difficult task for a country and both positive and negative load forecasting makes a big problem for the country. An approach that Neuro-Fuzzy model is proposed for forecast power load in this paper. The proposed model a fuzzy back propagation network is constructed and then a fuzzy intersection is applied and after that de-fuzzify the result to generate a crisp value by using Radial Basis Function network (RBF). The proposed model improves the accuracy of power load forecasting. The forecasted results obtained by neuro-fuzzy method were compared with the Artificial Neural Network by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to measure accuracy of the result. The experimental result shows that the neuro-fuzzy implementations have more accuracy.