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Machine Learning-based Exploratory Performance Analysis of CRYSTALS-Kyber–AES Hybrid Post-Quantum Cryptographic Systems

by Muhammed Shehu, Taiwo Kolajo, Emeka Ogbuju
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Number 138
Year of Publication: 2026
Authors: Muhammed Shehu, Taiwo Kolajo, Emeka Ogbuju
10.5120/ijca439a9afde953

Muhammed Shehu, Taiwo Kolajo, Emeka Ogbuju . Machine Learning-based Exploratory Performance Analysis of CRYSTALS-Kyber–AES Hybrid Post-Quantum Cryptographic Systems. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 138 ( Aug 2026), 16-23. DOI=10.5120/ijca439a9afde953

@article{ 10.5120/ijca439a9afde953,
author = { Muhammed Shehu, Taiwo Kolajo, Emeka Ogbuju },
title = { Machine Learning-based Exploratory Performance Analysis of CRYSTALS-Kyber–AES Hybrid Post-Quantum Cryptographic Systems },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Aug 2026 },
volume = { 187 },
number = { 138 },
month = { Aug },
year = { 2026 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 16-23 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume187/number138/machine-learning-based-exploratory-performance-analysis-of-crystals-kyberaes-hybrid-post-quantum-cryptographic-systems/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca439a9afde953 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2026-08-20T21:55:13+05:30
%A Muhammed Shehu
%A Taiwo Kolajo
%A Emeka Ogbuju
%T Machine Learning-based Exploratory Performance Analysis of CRYSTALS-Kyber–AES Hybrid Post-Quantum Cryptographic Systems
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 187
%N 138
%P 16-23
%D 2026
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Selecting suitable parameter configurations in hybrid post-quantum cryptographic systems is not only a matter of security strength but also of performance efficiency under varying system and network conditions. Many existing studies focus mainly on security guarantees, with limited attention to how different configurations behave in real deployment environments. This creates a gap in understanding how to balance security requirements with practical performance. This study explores the use of machine learning as a data-driven approach to analyze and predict performance trends in a hybrid cryptographic system that combines CRYSTALS-Kyber (a lattice-based post-quantum key encapsulation mechanism) with the Advanced Encryption Standard (AES). A controlled environment for the experimental was developed using Python-based tools. Multiple configurations of AES key sizes (128, 192, 256 bits) and Kyber variants (Kyber512, Kyber768, Kyber1024) were evaluated under different network and computational conditions. The dataset result captured key performance metrics such as network latency, encryption latency, decryption latency, throughput, and CPU utilisation. Different machine learning models, including Random Forest, XGBoost, Linear Regression, Decision Tree, LightGBM, and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), were trained and evaluated using MAE, RMSE, and R² metrics. The results show that while some models, particularly Random Forest and LightGBM, achieved relatively lower prediction errors for certain metrics, the overall predictive strength across tasks remained weak, with most R² values close to zero or negative. This indicates that the performance behaviour of the hybrid cryptographic system is influenced by complex and highly variable interactions that are not easily captured using standard supervised learning models and the current feature set.

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Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Post-Quantum Cryptography CRYSTALS-Kyber Advanced Encryption Standard Performance Analysis Machine Learning Hybrid Cryptographic Systems System Optimization.