CFP last date
20 January 2025
Reseach Article

A Comprehensive Review on the Application of Fuzzy Logic in Risk Analysis

by Stephy James, V.R. Renjith
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 186 - Number 54
Year of Publication: 2024
Authors: Stephy James, V.R. Renjith
10.5120/ijca2024924254

Stephy James, V.R. Renjith . A Comprehensive Review on the Application of Fuzzy Logic in Risk Analysis. International Journal of Computer Applications. 186, 54 ( Dec 2024), 16-38. DOI=10.5120/ijca2024924254

@article{ 10.5120/ijca2024924254,
author = { Stephy James, V.R. Renjith },
title = { A Comprehensive Review on the Application of Fuzzy Logic in Risk Analysis },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Dec 2024 },
volume = { 186 },
number = { 54 },
month = { Dec },
year = { 2024 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 16-38 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume186/number54/a-comprehensive-review-on-the-application-of-fuzzy-logic-in-risk-analysis/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca2024924254 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2024-12-27T02:45:35.320523+05:30
%A Stephy James
%A V.R. Renjith
%T A Comprehensive Review on the Application of Fuzzy Logic in Risk Analysis
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 186
%N 54
%P 16-38
%D 2024
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Safety performance, together with productivity and quality, may be a primary objective for businesses looking to compete in the global scale in the innovative world of history. Every person has a right to safe, and that it is the duty of all sectors to work toward an accident-free workplace. Risk is defined as the probability that a potentially harmful event going to happen along with the intensity of any potential harm, damage, or loss. Major dangers and damages in particular have been managed through via means of statistical danger assessment techniques. a variety of techniques can be used to conduct risk assessments. Expert judgments are commonly employed to describe hazards since accurate data collected, which is typically needed for risk assessment, is frequently inaccessible in so many regions due to the lack of an accidents reporting system. Risks cannot, however, be compared because different evaluations by different specialists may produce different outcomes. Fuzzy logic analysis is one of the most crucial methods for reducing uncertainty and complexity in risk. This paper discusses fuzzy failure mode effect analysis (FFMEA), fuzzy failure mode effect analysis (FFTA), fuzzy Neural classifier (FBN), fuzzy failure mode effect assessment (FFMECA), fuzzy fault tree assessment (FETA), fuzzy failure mode effect assessment (FHAZOP), fuzzy key risks (FRM), fuzzy failure mode effect assessment (FLOPA) and additional hazy danger analytical methods like fuzzy Markov process and fuzzy Bow-Tie Assessment before discussing some of the uses of fuzzy set principle to risk analysis, explains the fundamentals of fuzzy principle.

References
  1. G.-S. Liang, M.-J.J. Wang, (1993)Fuzzy fault-tree analysis using failure possibility, Microelectron. Reliab. 33 (4) 583–597
  2. AChang, C.H., Xu, J., Song, D.P.( 2014). An analysis of safety and security risks in container shipping operations: a case study of Taiwan. Saf. Sci. 63 (2), 168–178.
  3. Jacek Skorupski, (2016)The simulation-fuzzy method of assessing the risk of air traffic accidents using the fuzzy risk matrix, Safety Science 88 (2016) 76–87
  4. Adam S. Markowski , M. Sam Mannan(2008) ,fuzzy Risk Matrix, Journal of Hazardous Materials 159 (2008) 152–157.
  5. A.K. Verma, A. Srividya, S. Prabhudeva, G. Vinod,(2006) Reliability analysis of dynamic fault tree models using fuzzy sets, Commun. Dependability Qual.Manag. 9 (4) 68–78.
  6. Guo, L., Kang, J.( 2012). Risk-based HAZOP Analysis Method for Petrochemical Unit, Chemical Engineering 40, p. 70.
  7. J.P. Sawyer, S.S. Rao,(1994) Fault tree analysis of fuzzy mechanical systems, Microelectron. Reliab. 34 (4) 653–667
  8. Dianous, V., Fiévez, C., 2006. ARAMIS project: a more explicit demonstration of risk control through the use of bow–tie diagrams and the evaluation of safety barrier performance. Journal of Hazardous Materials 130 (3), 220–233.
  9. Reyes, G.Z. (2008). Layer of Protection Analysis Applied to Ammonia Refrigeration Systems.Master of Applied Science, Chemical Engineering, Texas A&M University college Station,TX
  10. A.C.F. Guimarães, C.M.F. Lapa,(2006) Hazard and operability study using approximate reasoning in light-water reactors passive systems, Nucl. Eng. Des.236 (12) 1256–1263,
  11. A. Pillay, J. Wang, (2003)Modified failure mode and effects analysis using approximate reasoning, Reliability and System Safety 79 , 69–85.
  12. Ayhan M, Ismail HH.(1981) An application of fuzzy fault tree analysis for spread mooring systems. Ocean Eng 2011;38:285–94
  13. Brockett P. L., Xia X (1995) Operations research in insurance: a review. Transactions of Society of Actuaries 47:7–87
  14. Chang, C.H., Xu, J., Song, D.P.( 2014). An analysis of safety and security risks in container shipping operations: a case study of Taiwan. Saf. Sci. 63 (2), 168–178.
  15. Hanss, M. (2005) Applied Fuzzy Arithmetic: An Introduction with Engineering Applications,Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
  16. Clifton A Ericson(2005) “Hazard Analysis Techniques for System Safety
  17. Daqing Wang,Peng Zhang,Liqiong Chen(2013) fuzzy fault tree analysis for fire and explosion of crude oil tanks, journal of Loss Prevention in Process Ind.1-9 Dino G DiMattia,Predicting the Risk of loss containment from a novel LNG propulsion system using a fuzzy-Lopa method,International Gas union Research Conference 2011
  18. CCPS, 1989. Guidelines for Process Equipment Reliability Data with Data Tables.Center for Chemical Process Safety/AIChE.
  19. Dokas IM, Karras DA, Panagiotakopoulos DC(2009). Fault tree analysis and fuzzy expert systems: early warning and emergency response of landfill operations. Environ Modell Soft ;24(1):8–25
  20. Dubois, D., Prade, H. (1980) Fuzzy Sets and Systems: Theory and Applications. San Diego, CA:Academic Press.
  21. R.S. Chanda, P.K. Bhattacharjee, (1998) A reliability approach to transmission expansion planning using fuzzy fault-tree model, Electr. Power Syst. Res. 45 (2) 101–108
  22. A.C.F. Guimarães, C.M.F. Lapa, (2004)Effects analysis fuzzy inference system in nuclear problems using approximate reasoning, Ann. Nucl. Energy 31 (1)107–115
  23. Duijm, N.J., 2009. Safety-barrier diagrams as a safety management tool. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 94 (2), 332–341.
  24. Yager, R.R.(1980). On a general class of fuzzy connectives. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 4,235-242
  25. Dunjó, J., Fthenakis, V., Vílchez, J. (2010). Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) Analysis, Journal of Hazardous Materials 173, p. 19.
  26. Esmaeil Zarei,, Nima Khakzad, Valerio Cozzani, Genserik Reniers, Safety analysis of process systems using Fuzzy Bayesian Network (FBN), Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 57 (2019) 7–16
  27. Geun, W., William, J., Sam, M.(2009). Risk Assessment of LNG Importation Terminals Using the Bayesian-LOPA Methodology, Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 2, p. 91.
  28. AIChE, 2001, Layer of Protection Analysis: Simplified Process Risk Assessment, Center for Chemical Process Safety and John Wiley &Sons, New York, New York
  29. Giardina, M., Castiglia, F., Tomarchio, E., (2014). Risk assessment of component failure modes and human errors using a new FMECA approach: application in the safety analysis of HDR brachytherapy. J. Radiol. Prot. 34, 89-914
  30. Bouissou M., Nguyen T. (2002). Decision making based on expert assessments: use of Belief Networks to take into account uncertainty, bias, and weak signals. 13th European Safety and Reliability International Conference (ESREL 2002). Lyon, France, March 2002.
  31. Braglia, M. Frosolini, R. Montanari,(2003) Fuzzy criticality assessment model for failure modes and effects analysis, Int. J. Qual. Reliab. Manag. 20 (4) 503–524
  32. Gmytrasiewicz P, Hassberger JA, Lee JC.(1990) Fault tree based diagnostics using fuzzy logic. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell ;12(11):1115–9.
  33. Han, L., Mei, Q., Lu, Y.(2004). Analysis and Study on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation, China Safety Science Journal 14, p. 86.
  34. Anjuman Shahriar, Rehan Sadiq, Solomon Tesfamariam,(2012) Risk analysis for oil & gas pipelines: A sustainability assessment approach using fuzzy based bow-tie analysis, Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 25 (2012) 505-523.
  35. Jose Luis Fuentes-Bargues , Cristina Gonzalez-Gaya , Ma Carmen Gonzalez-Cruz ,Veronica Cabrelles-Ramírez , Risk assessment of a compound feed process based on HAZOP analysis and linguistic terms, Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 44 (2016) 44-52
  36. Guo, L., Wang, N., Kang, J.(2014). Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of HAZOP Node Importance for Petrochemical Plant, China Safety Science Journal 14, p. 108.
  37. Chen, S.J., Hwang, C.L.(1992). In: Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making: Methods and Applications. Springer-Verlag.
  38. Wang, H., Wang, B.(2014). On Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Fireworks Production Works Based on AHP, Journal of Safety and Environment 14, p. 108.Wen-Kai K. Hsu , Show-Hui S. Huang , Wen-Jui Tseng,(2016) Evaluating the risk of operational safety for dangerous goods in airfreights – A revised risk matrix based on fuzzy AHP, Transportation Research Part D 48(2016)235–247
  39. Muhammad Saiful Islama, Madhav Nepal, A Fuzzy-Bayesian Model for Risk Assessment in Power Plant Projects, Procedia Computer Science 100 ( 2016 ) 963 – 970
  40. Shaverdi, M., Heshmati, M., Ramezani, I.(2014). Application of Fuzzy AHP Approach forFinancial Performance Evaluation of Iranian Petrochemical Sector, Procedia Computer Science 31, p. 995
  41. Dubois, D., Prade, H. (1980) Fuzzy Sets and Systems: Theory and Applications. San Diego, CA:Academic Press
  42. H. Furuta, N. Shiraishi, (1984) Fuzzy importance in fault tree analysis, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 12 (3) 205–213
  43. H. Pan, W. Yun, (1997)Fault tree analysis with fuzzy gates, Comput. Ind. Eng. 33 (3) 569–572
  44. Du, Y., Tan, W., Ren, W.( 2010). Progress and Prospect in Hazard and Operability Analysis, Modern Chemical Industry 7, p. 90.
  45. H.C. Liu, L. Liu, N. Liu,(2013) Risk evaluation approaches in failure mode and effects analysis: a literature review, Expert Syst. Appl. 40 (2) 828–838
  46. Jang, J.-S. R., Sun, C.-T., Mizutani, E. (1997) Neuro-Fuzzy And Soft Computing: A Computational Approach to Learning and Machine Intelligence. Prentice Hall, Upper SaddleRiver, N..J. Buckley, E. Eslami,(2002) Fuzzy Markov chains: uncertain probabilities, Mathw. Soft Comput. 9 (1) (2002) 1–10.
  47. Julwan HP(2014), A fuzzy –based reliability approach to evaluate basic events of fault tree analysis for nuclear power plant probabilistic safety assessment, Annals of Nuclear Energy70(2014)21-29
  48. K.E. Avrachenkov, E. Sanchez,(2002) Fuzzy Markov chains and decision-making, Fuzzy Optim. Decis. Mak. 1 (2) (2002) 143–159.
  49. K.B. Misra, K.P. Soman, (1995) Multi state fault tree analysis using fuzzy probability vectors and resolution identity, in: Reliab. Saf. Anal. under Fuzziness, Physica-Verlag HD,Heidelberg, , pp. 113–125
  50. K. Cai, System failure engineering and fuzzy methodology: an introductory overview, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 83 (2) (1996) 113–133
  51. K.E. Avrachenkov, E. Sanchez,(2000) Fuzzy Markov chains: specifities and properties, in: 8th IPMUConf.,pp.1851–1856.
  52. K.-H. Chang, C.-H. Cheng,(2010) A risk assessment methodology using intuitionistic fuzzy set in FMEA, International Journal of Systems Science 41 (12) 1457–147
  53. Onisawa T.(1990), An application of fuzzy concepts to modelling of reliability analysis. Fuzzy Sets Syst ;37(3):267–86
  54. Lei, F.(2004). Research on the Safety Evaluation Index System of Dangerous Chemicals, Beijing: China University of Geosciences
  55. R. Kruse, R. Buck-Emden, R. Cordes, (1987),Processor power considerations — an application of fuzzy Markov chains, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 21 (3) (1987) 289–299.
  56. Lee WS, Grosh DL, Tillman FA, Lie CH(1985). Fault tree analysis, methods, and applications: a review. IEEE Trans Reliab ;3:194–203.
  57. H.-C. Liu, L. Liu, Q.-L. Lin,(2013) Fuzzy failure mode and effects analysis using fuzzy evidential reasoning and belief rule-based methodology, IEEE Trans. Reliab. 62 (1) 23–36
  58. Singer D.(1990) A fuzzy set approach to fault tree and reliability analysis. Fuzzy Sets Syst;34(2):145–55.
  59. Yizhi Hong,Hans J.Pasman,Sonny Sachdeva,Adam S Markowski,Afuzzy Logic and probabilistic hybrid approach to quantify the uncertainty in layer of protection analysis,Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 43(2016) 30-17
  60. Zhou, R., Li, S., Liu, H.(2010). Study on Application of LOPA in HAZOP, China Safety Science Journal 20, p. 76.
  61. Fujino T and Hadipriono FC (1994) New gate operations of fuzzy fault tree analysis. In: Proceedings of the third IEEE conference on fuzzy systems, vol 2, p 1246–1251
  62. Z. Yang, S. Bonsall, J. Wang,(2008) Fuzzy rule-based Bayesian reasoning approach for prioritization of failures in FMEA, IEEE Trans. Reliab. 57 (3) 517–528.
  63. M Al Humaidi (2010) A fuzzy logic approach to model delays in construction projects using rotational fuzzy fault tree models. Civ Eng Environ Syst 27(4):329–351
  64. Markowski, A. S. (2006). Layer of protection analysis for the process industry. Lodz, Poland: PAN, Lodz Branch, ISBN 83-86-492-36-8.
  65. Mamdani, E. (1974). Application of fuzzy algorithms for simple dynamic plants. Proceedings of IEEE, 121, 1585-1588.
  66. Lawry, An alternative approach to computing with words, Int. J. Uncertain. Fuzziness Knowl.-Based Syst. 9 (2001) 3–16
  67. Mannan, S., 2005, Lees’ Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, Volumes 1-3 - Hazard Identification, Assessment and Control(3thEdition), Elsevier Butterworth Heinemann, New York
  68. M. Khalil , M.A. Abdou , M.S. Mansour , H.A. Farag , M.E. Ossman, A cascaded fuzzy- LOPA risk assessment model applied in natural gas industry Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 25 (2012) 877-882
  69. Misra KB, Weber GG.(1990) Use of fuzzy set theory for level-I studies in probabilistic risk assessment. Fuzzy Sets Syst ;37(2):139–60
  70. Wu, C.(2012). Application Guide of Hazard and Operability Analysis (HAZOP), Beijing: China Petrochemical Press, p. 2.
  71. N.R. Sankar, B.S. Prabhu,(2001) Modified approach for prioritization of failures in a system failure mode and effects analysis, Int. J. Qual. Reliab. Manag. 18 (3) 324–336.OREDA, 2002. Offshore Reliablity Data Handbook
  72. Li, N., Zhang, X., Sun, W.(2012). Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process in HAZOP analysis, Industrial, Safety and Environmental Protection 38, p.56.
  73. Pan HS, Yun WY(1997). Fault tree analysis with fuzzy gates. Comput Ind Eng;33:569–72
  74. P.V. Suresh, A.K. Babar, V.V. Raj,(1996) Uncertainty in fault tree analysis: a fuzzy approach, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 83 (2) 135–141
  75. Seyed ML, Nahid R, Farinaz S, Emre A.(2015) Utilisation of fuzzy fault tree analysis (FFTA) for quantified risk analysis of leakage in abandoned oil and natural-gas wells.OceanEng;108:729–37.
  76. Lavasani SM, Zendegani A, Celik M.(2015) An extension to fuzzy fault tree analysis (FFTA) application in petrochemical process industry. Process Saf Environ Prot ;93(2):75–88
  77. L.P. Yang, Analysis on dynamic fault tree based on fuzzy set, Appl. Mech. Mater. 110 (2011) 2416–2420
  78. Rasool Kenarangui,Event(1991) –Tree Analysis by Fuzzy probability, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, VOL. 40,NO. 1, 1991 April.
  79. Tanaka H, Fan LT, Lai FS, et al.(1984) Fault-tree analysis by fuzzy probability. IEEE Trans Reliab ;32(5):453–7
  80. Y.F. Li, H.Z. Huang, Y. Liu, N. Xiao, H. Li,(2012) A new fault tree analysis method: fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis, Eksploat. Niezawodn. Reliab. 14 (3) 208–214.
  81. Refaul Ferdous , Faisal Khan , Rehan Sadiq , Paul Amyotte , Brian Veitch , Handling data uncertainties in event tree analysis, Process Safety and Environmental Protection 8 7(2009) 283–292
  82. L.B. Page, J.E. Perry, (1994) Standard deviation as an alternative to fuzziness in fault tree models, IEEE Trans. Reliab. 43 (3) 402–407
  83. Tzannatos, E.S.(2003). A decision support system for the promotion of security in shipping. DISASTER Prevent. Manage. 12 (3), 222–229.
  84. Zhou, R., Li, S., Liu, H.( 2010). Study on Application of LOPA in HAZOP, China Safety Science Journal 20, p. 76.
  85. Renjith VR, Madhu G, Lakshmana V, Nayagam G, Bhasi AB.(2010) Two-dimensional fuzzy fault tree analysis for chlorine release from a chlor-alkali industry using expert elicitation. J Hazard Mater ;183:103–10
  86. K.B. Misra, G.G. Weber, (1990) Use of fuzzy set theory for level-I studies in probabilistic risk assessment, Fuzzy Sets Syst. 37 (2) 139–160\
  87. S.A. Zonouz, S.G. Miremadi,(2006) A fuzzy-Monte Carlo simulation approach for fault tree analysis, in: Annu. Reliab. Maintainab. Symp., IEEE, pp. 428–433
  88. sivaprakasam Rajakarunakaran,A.Maniram Kumar,V.Arumuga Prabhu, (2015) Application of fuzzy fault tree analysis and expert elicitation for evaluation of risks in LPG refueling station,Journal of Loss Prevention in process industries 33109-123
  89. Song H (2009) Fuzzy fault tree analysis based on T-S model with application to INS/GPS navigation system. Soft Comput 13(1):31–40
  90. S. Kabir, M. Walker, Y. Papadopoulos, E. Rüde, P. Securius,(2016) Fuzzy temporal fault tree analysis of dynamic systems, Int. J. Approx. Reason. 77 20–37
  91. Ting ting GAO,san-ming WANG, Fuzzy integrated evaluation based on HAZOP 2017 8th International Conference on Fire Science and Fire Protection Engineering, Procedia Engineering 211 (2018) 176–182
  92. Kwan-Seong Jeong,(2011) Estimation on probability of radiological hazards for nuclear facilities decommissioning based on fuzzy and event tree method, Annals of Nuclear Energy 38 (2011) 2606–2611.
  93. V. R.Renjith, Samuel George,(2017) Risk Assessment of LNG Regasification Terminal Using Cascaded Fuzzy-LOPA, International Journal of Advanced Scientific Research and Management, Vol. 2 Issue 10, Oct 2017
  94. A.C.F. Guimarães, C.M.F. Lapa, (2004)Fuzzy FMEA applied to PWR chemical and volume control system, Prog.Nucl.Energy44(3)191–213.
  95. Yao C and Zhang Y (2010) T–S model based fault tree analysis on the hoisting system of rubber-tyred girder hoister. In: Presented at WASE international conference on information engineering (ICIE), 2010
  96. Zeng, H., Wang, W.(2014). Study on Information Sharing of FMEA, HAZOP and LOPA, Modern Chemical Industry 43, p. 210.
  97. Liang GS, Wang MJ.(1993) Fuzzy fault-tree analysis using failure possibility. Micro electron Reliab;33(4):583–97.
  98. Liang, G., He, H., He, S.,( 2015). Application of HAZOP Technology in Risk Assessment of CNG Wells, Chemical Engineering of Oil & Gas 44, p. 99.
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Network Risk analysis Bayesian network Fuzzy logic FTA FMEA