CFP last date
20 December 2024
Reseach Article

A Comparative Model for Predicting Population Census in Nigeria

by Orukpe A., Imianvan A., Akazue M.A.
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 185 - Number 26
Year of Publication: 2023
Authors: Orukpe A., Imianvan A., Akazue M.A.
10.5120/ijca2023923007

Orukpe A., Imianvan A., Akazue M.A. . A Comparative Model for Predicting Population Census in Nigeria. International Journal of Computer Applications. 185, 26 ( Aug 2023), 27-30. DOI=10.5120/ijca2023923007

@article{ 10.5120/ijca2023923007,
author = { Orukpe A., Imianvan A., Akazue M.A. },
title = { A Comparative Model for Predicting Population Census in Nigeria },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Aug 2023 },
volume = { 185 },
number = { 26 },
month = { Aug },
year = { 2023 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 27-30 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume185/number26/32852-2023923007/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca2023923007 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2024-02-07T01:27:05.807658+05:30
%A Orukpe A.
%A Imianvan A.
%A Akazue M.A.
%T A Comparative Model for Predicting Population Census in Nigeria
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 185
%N 26
%P 27-30
%D 2023
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Population projections are increasingly employed as tools for understanding and modeling the economic, social and environment futures of a limited area. Population growth projection is the mathematical calculation that depend on the future rate, it is dependent on three main component of population assumptions, which are fertility, mortality and net migration of people of a country. Machine learning has been found useful for projecting future values. For population growth to be projected the machine learning has been applied to construct the map between year and population growth. This is germane for population, planning, budgeting, education, commercial sector and the health system. The study investigates the growth rate of Nigerian population data, employing time series projecting machine methods and analyzed by Linear Regression, k-NN, Support vector machine, and decision tree classifiers. The underlining projection method is hinged on the most accurate machine learning algorithm technique that flag less error rate. The increase and decrease of some example dataset does not impact the behavior of the method is equally analyzed. The outcome of the results reveals that the linear regression gives less error rate than the rest classifiers that was used to project population growth of Nigeria.

References
  1. National Population Commission Nigeria (2020). Nigeria Population Projection and Demographic Indicators-State and National. Abuja, Nigeria.
  2. Benjamin Seligman, Shripad Tuljapurkar, David Rehkopf, Machi (2018). modeled Investing other learning approaches to the social determinants, SSM - Population Health.
  3. Wenjie Hu, Jay Harshadbhai Patel, Zoe-Alanah Robert, Paul Novosad, Samuel Asher, Zhongyi Tang, Marshall Burke, David Lobell, and Stefano Ermon. (2019). Mapping Missing Population in Rural India: A Deep Learning Approach with Satellite Imagery. In AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society.
  4. Gavril Ognjanovski, (2018). Predict Population Growth Using Linear Regression Machine Learning Easy and Fun, https://medium.com/analyticsvidhya/predict-population-growth-using-linear-regression-machine-learningd555b1ff8f38.
  5. Poongodai, A Suhasini, R Muthukumar, R. (2019) "Regression Based on Examining Population Forecast Accuracy, "International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering.
  6. Samir Mazidbhai Vohra, (2015) “Population Growth – India’s Problem”, PARIPEX – Indian Journal of Research,
  7. Biau, G. and Scornet, E. (2016). A random forest guided tour. Test, 25(2):197–227.
  8. Blanpain, N. (2020). Is the Ageing of the French Population Unavoidable? Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, this issue.
  9. Caleb Robinson, Fred Hohman, and Bistra Dilkina. (2017).
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Classifier Linear regression k-NN Decision tree and Support vector Population growth.