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Development of a Hybrid Prediction Mechanism using SMA and EXS Methods for GSM Logical Channel Load Variables

by Garba S, Mu'azu M.b, Dajab D.d
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International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 109 - Number 1
Year of Publication: 2015
Authors: Garba S, Mu'azu M.b, Dajab D.d
10.5120/19151-0577

Garba S, Mu'azu M.b, Dajab D.d . Development of a Hybrid Prediction Mechanism using SMA and EXS Methods for GSM Logical Channel Load Variables. International Journal of Computer Applications. 109, 1 ( January 2015), 16-24. DOI=10.5120/19151-0577

@article{ 10.5120/19151-0577,
author = { Garba S, Mu'azu M.b, Dajab D.d },
title = { Development of a Hybrid Prediction Mechanism using SMA and EXS Methods for GSM Logical Channel Load Variables },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { January 2015 },
volume = { 109 },
number = { 1 },
month = { January },
year = { 2015 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 16-24 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume109/number1/19151-0577/ },
doi = { 10.5120/19151-0577 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2024-02-06T22:43:39.306219+05:30
%A Garba S
%A Mu'azu M.b
%A Dajab D.d
%T Development of a Hybrid Prediction Mechanism using SMA and EXS Methods for GSM Logical Channel Load Variables
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 109
%N 1
%P 16-24
%D 2015
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

The GSM logical channel load are stochastic (random), distinct in time (Erlang) distribution data; and as such it requires robust means of its prediction. The method employed in this work for the predictions is a hybrid of Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ExS), which can fit in to predict logical channel load variables with it peculiarities. A three (3) month Data were used in determining the number of observations for the prediction (n) for SMA and smoothing constant (?) for ExS. The determinant values obtained are n = 28, and ? = 0. 077. These values are used to predict the logical control and traffic channels load variables that characterizes its utilization.

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Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

GSM SMA ExS and Logical channel.

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